How to use this tool
- Enter numbers, probabilities.
- Select Calculate to view the result.
- Check the method and assumptions below before using the result.
The method, explained
Expected value = sum(value × probability). Probabilities must sum to 1.
Using numbers = 2, 4, 6, 8, probabilities = .1, .2, .3, .4, the result is 6. Change these example inputs to match your task; use the method above to check each step.
What to keep in mind
A descriptive or probability calculation under the stated assumptions. Check the sample design and model before interpreting results.
Common questions
Which inputs does this calculation need?
Find a weighted expected outcome from values and probabilities. Enter numbers, probabilities. The filled example is editable and is not a saved personal record.
How should I interpret the result?
A descriptive or probability calculation under the stated assumptions. Check the sample design and model before interpreting results.
Methodology maintained by ClarityKit. How these tools are built and checked.